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Well if it is smaller even slightly then your used to getting, it's pretty safe to say you have a new layer. I doubt your established hens eggs would shrink in size

Though your chicken sounds young to have started, if she is comfortable and happy in your care it is possible that she started early. I have 20, 10 of which are barred rocks and a few of them started laying when they were only 16 weeks. So it is def possible. One thing i would check is the size...