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It would depend on the genetics of the penciled bird. If it's only missing one component, and the laced bird is pure for all components, odds are about 50% for laced. If the laced parent is not pure for all components, and the penciled parent is missing more than one component, you might not get...

"Reversed" lacing is called penciling. And it indicates that one, or both, parents are not pure for the genes required for complete lacing. Lacing requires a specific combination of 4 different genes. Drop even one, and the result is penciling.