What's the temperature where you are???

11:30 AM
93F now
high of 97F later this afternoon
6% humidity
sunny

It's snake season, they're everywhere (this is a gopher snake, non-venomous and good pest control).

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Wednesday 15th of May 7.18a.m. Cloud cover. 9.3 / 13kph WSW, Hg 65%, 14.5C / 58.5F top of 21C / 70F. Mostly sunny :fl

Moon is 44.4%

A La Niña Watch has been declared — here's what that could mean for Australia's weather in 2024​

Story by weather reporter Tyne Logan and climate reporter Jo Lauder
La Niña is the cool phase of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), and often brings significant rainfall to Australia. (Supplied: Andrew B Watkins)


La Niña is the cool phase of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), and often brings significant rainfall to Australia. (Supplied: Andrew B Watkins)

The Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) has officially moved to La Niña "watch", reflecting an increased chance the major climate driver, which helped bring flooding to eastern Australia in 2021 and 2022, will return later this year.

La Niña is the cool phase of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and has helped deliver significant rainfall and flooding events to Australia in the past.

However, BOM noted that global sea surface temperatures have been at a record high for the past year, with ramifications for their forecasting. (I think this is BoM speak for 'we get paid for winging it')

Predictions around climate drivers like La Niña and El Niño are usually calculated using historical records. The unprecedented nature of the past year's ocean heat means forecasting based on past events "may not be reliable", the BOM notes. (yep, winging it)

La Niña is one of the strongest influences on Australia's year-to-year climate variability, with the magnitude of impacts dependent on its duration, intensity, and interaction with other climate drivers. The natural variability of weather, of course, also plays a part. :gig

A watch declaration is not an announcement that the phase has arrived, but an indication there is a 50 per cent chance of its development this winter or spring. :confused:

What it means for other parts of the world | PBS Newshour
 

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