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Unless you are using artificial lights, they will tend to lay more eggs in spring & summer than in fall & winter. If you're working from full-year averages, then it's not surprising if they underperform at this season. Yes, it is somewhat likely that you will get a stretch averaging 17 eggs/day...

Sometimes it works to grab them off the roost after dark.

Have you checked their butts to see how many are actually laying? I've had a batch of chickens where the first was laying more than four months before the last ones started.