I like your experiment, especially you using controls. In Maine I’d think egg collecting could be an issue this time of year. I’ve had some decent hatches when collecting eggs this time of year, even when some days it stays below freezing, but I’m down there several times a day collecting eggs.
I suggest you calibrate your thermometers so you know what you are working with. If you can find an old-fashioned medical thermometer it will read in the range you are looking for and it should be reliable. Since it only reads a maximum you can’t use it directly but you can check your other thermometers from it. I just did that for a new thermometer and found it was reading about 3 and a half degrees low.
I suggest you calibrate your thermometers so you know what you are working with. If you can find an old-fashioned medical thermometer it will read in the range you are looking for and it should be reliable. Since it only reads a maximum you can’t use it directly but you can check your other thermometers from it. I just did that for a new thermometer and found it was reading about 3 and a half degrees low.