Ended Guess When BYC Will Reach 480,000 Members!

[R2elk]

43

 

[casportpony]

I guess we better start getting the announcement ready.

 

[R2elk]

41

 

[Kiki]

I guess we better start getting the announcement ready.

I haven't made my guess yet!

 

[Kiki]

Anyone want to guess when it will actually happen?
If you do place a guess it will mean absolutely nothing. It will not count. Just for fun.


I guess 2/5/2023 4:00pm

 

[electrycmonk]

From 12/3/2022 through 1/1/2023 - 846 new members joined for an average of 30 new members per day.

From 1/1/2023 through 1/8/2023 - 255 new members joined for an average of 36 new members per day.

From 1/8/2023 through 1/31/2023 - 382 new members joined for an average of 48 new members per day.

From 1/16/2023 through 1/31/2023 - 851 new members joined for an average of 57 new members per day.

From 2/1/2023 through midnight MT this morning - 282 new members joined for an average of 70 new members per day.

We've been keeping track:

Date	New Member Average from the Last Day
1/6/2023	34
1/7/2023	44
1/8/2023	30
1/11/2023	50
1/12/2023	40
1/13/2023	55
1/14/2023	40
1/15/2023	42
1/16/2023	53
1/17/2023	39
1/18/2023	74
1/19/2023	39
1/20/2023	58
1/21/2023	45
1/22/2023	52
1/23/2023	72
1/24/2023	51
1/25/2023	66
1/26/2023	59
1/27/2023	63
1/29/2023	46
1/30/2023	63
1/31/2023	71
2/1/2023	58
2/2/2023	70
2/3/2023	68
2/4/2023	68
2/5/2023	76

I guess we better start getting the announcement ready.

Once I had worked through my fear on math in college I had a “ah hahhh moment” and saw math as just like any other language; grammar rules, sentence structures etal.
Watching these contests and the folks who ask questions gives me the giggles now-adays because of this perception I still use…

Ebb n flow of the numbers is just like ebb n flow of the tides on a beach or the cyclical rise and setting moon or other objects in the sky…

Subtle amusement to me…

Enjoy the rest of the day, month, & year folks.

/end of line

 

[R2elk]

40

 

[tripletfeb]

Anyone want to guess when it will actually happen?
If you do place a guess it will mean absolutely nothing. It will not count. Just for fun.


I guess 2/5/2023 4:00pm

Just for funsies, I guess that it will really happen today at 3:00 pm

 

[electrycmonk]

We've been keeping track:

Date	New Member Average from the Last Day
2/1/2023	58
2/2/2023	70
2/3/2023	68
2/4/2023	68
2/5/2023	76

I haven't made my guess yet!

Anyone want to guess when it will actually happen?
If you do place a guess it will mean absolutely nothing. It will not count. Just for fun.


I guess 2/5/2023 4:00pm

Last 5 days avg = 68
68/ 24 = 2.833 per hour (avg)

With only “40 slots remaining” as of now CST (note my clock upper left in this screenshot)

Shooting from the hip ~= ~14 hours away …
If you use just the last 4 days… the same math has an avg of 2.93 per hour ~= 13.65 hours

So my humour guess is 10:37PM tonight.
Logically though, I’m expecting it to happen between ~3:00PM & 11:00 PM today.
(Shrugs)

 

[electrycmonk]

Just for funsies, I guess that it will really happen today at 3:00 pm

I like your thinking…