Straight run odds.

[bobbi-j]

50/50 same if you hatch them out yourself

Maybe. I had a hen hatch out two chicks in June, and they were both pullets. She hatched out two more in August. Both cockerels.

 

[David61]

I am having a whole hog bbq Saturday so pics will more like monday as it will be Sunday before it get time.

 

[David61]

 

[David61]

They are five week if that. I had to do some coop maintenance just now and got a few pictures. I'm seeing one roo.

 

[David61]

 

[David61]

 

[fuzzi]

My straight run weren't from TSC but an in-state breeder. I bought ten "day old" chicks, 7 are cockerels.

 

[fuzzi]

They are five week if that. I had to do some coop maintenance just now and got a few pictures. I'm seeing one roo.View attachment 3476306View attachment 3476308View attachment 3476310

Very pretty!

 

[MountainWoman73]

I think it may strongly depend if you have an order in, or if you are pulling them out of the bin on the floor.

I assume that a hatch should be close to 50/50. Sent to the store. But while it is difficult to tell the sex of chicks at that age. A person pulling a dozen out, depending on which dozen they get, could really sway the numbers left in the bin.

Say you have 100 chicks in the bin, 50 pullets, 50 cockerels. !st pick - could get 50/50, but could also get 30/70. The more that they took should give closer odds to 50/50. But if the draw out is small, it could easily be much more lopsided. Say buyer 1 grabs a dozen, randomly gets 4 pullets and 8 cockerels.

But now that leaves 46 pullets, and 42 cockerels. Say buyer two, grabs 20. Getting 15 cockerels and 5 pullets...now you can see that the odds are really swinging in favor of the 3rd buyer getting more pullets - but all of it is random chance.

Probably more than you wanted (but I am teaching random population sampling next week and brushed up on it).

Mrs K

Mrs K, you're a math teacher? So am I!

 

[Ridgerunner]

ok, i put this to the test. I just picked six California tans doing this method The girl at tsc let me pick out of the bin. I stuck my hand down in the bin and got still. They all ran away at first. Then heads popped up and some turned and came at. me. Those got passed over. The ones hanging back, head down, kind of bland got picked. so i got girls or a bunch of sickly runts lol.
who thinks there is something to this?
Whats your guess on the six new chicks?
Check back in five weeks.

They are five week if that. I had to do some coop maintenance just now and got a few pictures. I'm seeing one roo.

Are you saying you think there might be something to what I wrote on how to do this? I know this is only one data point and you'd need a lot more experiments to get a scientifically relevant number according to the scientific method, but maybe you'd be willing to try this again.