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Man, I'm right there with you. I don't get it either!!!!! I have the same story pretty much. I have read so many different stories of people hatching eggs with heating pads, electric blankets, just out in the open with the heat from a freakin' desk lamp, and of course tons of home made incubators, all with great success. However, I bought a little giant bator and watch my eggs like a hawk, have 4 different temp gauges and all seems well, but then for whatever reason, at least 1 day during incubation, either thru the night or when I'm at work I'll check it and boom!!! It will spike to 103 or 104, even if the outside air of the room has gotten colder. I don't get it, but it pisses me off!!!!!
Oh yeah, my first hatch attempt, I got nothing, all dead. I waited 25 days and nothing, then did a post mortem and checked and all were fertile and developed, but just never hatched. I'm on my 2nd batch now and out of 15 eggs, I have one that hatched this morning and this is day 23 and no activity from the others. And I don't mess with them ever or even candle them, just watch temp and humidity. So those spikes have probably been the reason for my terrible hatch rate.