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You're right--we'll never know. This is her second set of eggs. She went broody about six weeks ago, and I figured I'd hatch some eggs out. I don't have a roo, so got some fertile eggs. The first clutch was six eggs, three of which were developing. I left them under her. She got rid of them all three days before they were set to hatch by rolling them out of the nest. A couple had cracks in them, but I think it was from falling. No pecking like this one. At the time, I just assumed she "knew" that none were viable.
A week later, she was still broody, so I got a clutch of 12 eggs, only four of are were developing. I've left them all under her because the one time I tried to take one away, she got very upset. (Like bokbokking long after I removed it.) I have zero idea why she pecked this one, but yeah, i'd like to think it's an accident. As I say, she is still incubating the remaining 11.