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Very little water remains in the cup if any. So far I've only had one morning 2 degrees outside, water thermometer read 38.? degrees, where one of the triggers was stuck in the little bit of ice in the cup. I dripped a little bit of water from the bucket into it and freed it up in seconds. If we had a lot of temps like that for extended periods, I'd either have to set the thermostat inside higher or just take it out completely.
If you keep it inside, you could probably get by with 40W running all the time or 60W at the most. Without a thermostat in there, your sides might get warmer and put out a little bit of heat too, at least around the top.
Next one I make I'm leaving out the thermostat.