Ended Guess When BYC Will Reach 490,000 Members!

[casportpony]

Only 19 entries?

23 actually. That list does not show the ones that people changed from. You can see all here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet...KJHWzI_28mp7li5wTo226mUdjk/edit#gid=670772013

The spreadsheet tab labeled "BYC Members, View This Tab" has a formula that generates a list of the most current guesses and eliminates previous ones.

Example:
@fluffycrow entered twice. Their first guess was 5/30 & the second guess was 6/20.

The formula takes all of the data from @Kiki's data entry tab:

This formula takes a the most recent entry from members and sorts them by date and time. If you look, you'll see that @fluffycrow is listed on this page only once.

 

[casportpony]

Let's do 6/2/23 at 11 A.M.

To get to 490k members by then we need to get 478 members per day:

 

[TheAlarmCluck]

23 actually. That list does not show the ones that people changed from. You can see all here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet...KJHWzI_28mp7li5wTo226mUdjk/edit#gid=670772013

The spreadsheet tab labeled "BYC Members, View This Tab" has a formula that generates a list of the most current guesses and eliminates previous ones.

Example:
@fluffycrow entered twice. Their first guess was 5/30 & the second guess was 6/20.
View attachment 3523176

The formula takes all of the data from @Kiki's data entry tab:
View attachment 3523178
This formula takes a the most recent entry from members and sorts them by date and time. If you look, you'll see that @fluffycrow is listed on this page only once.
View attachment 3523180

Thanks for the info!
I was wondering how the system worked.

 

[R2elk]

@bgmathteach

 

[Junejones]

6/19/23 @9pm

 

[bgmathteach]

@bgmathteach

Thanks, @R2elk , I have guessed already - and while it is probably wrong, I will let it be and see what happens! The probability of me being wrong increases with each successive guess I would have been in the top three on the last one I guessed in - if I hadn't rethought it and changed my guess!

Murphy's Law: If it can go wrong, it will
Law of Statistics: If it is bad, the probability of it happening gets close to 1

 

[casportpony]

Thanks, @R2elk , I have guessed already - and while it is probably wrong, I will let it be and see what happens! The probability of me being wrong increases with each successive guess I would have been in the top three on the last one I guessed in - if I hadn't rethought it and changed my guess!

Murphy's Law: If it can go wrong, it will
Law of Statistics: If it is bad, the probability of it happening gets close to 1

Actually, you have not made a guess in this contest.

 

[bgmathteach]

Thanks, @R2elk , I have guessed already - and while it is probably wrong, I will let it be and see what happens! The probability of me being wrong increases with each successive guess I would have been in the top three on the last one I guessed in - if I hadn't rethought it and changed my guess!

Murphy's Law: If it can go wrong, it will
Law of Statistics: If it is bad, the probability of it happening gets close to 1

Oh, dear, my post/guess isn't showing. Hmmmm...OHHHHHH, I guessed in the new threads one (reach 1,490,000) Okay, I have to do some math and guess in this one, too!

 

[casportpony]

Oh, dear, my post/guess isn't showing. Hmmmm...OHHHHHH, I guessed in the new threads one (reach 1,490,000) Okay, I have to do some math and guess in this one, too!

Yep, just these two posts in this thread:

 

[bgmathteach]

Yep, just these two posts in this thread:
View attachment 3523323

Yup, I see that now. So, only going off one set of data over the long weekend, so will probably be off. .but, here goes nothin'

May I please have:
6/27/2023 at 3:00 am