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- #71
Yes, I agree with your odds as calculated and your thoughts on the true genetics of the parents. The breeder has confirmed that split pied was a possibility in the male.It's really hard for me to say for sure, but I'm supposing that the peacock is Bronze Single Factor White Eye split to Pied, and the peahen is Spaulding Single Factor White Eye split to Bronze and Pied -- or the Pied and White genes are the other way around in the pair. Your Bronze Silver Pied offspring hit the lottery, and inherited two copies of Bronze, two copies of White Eye, one copy of White and one copy of Pied. If my assumption about the pair is correct, that's a 1/32 chance of occurring.
How to figure the odds? If you remember back to learning about probability math from school, you'll know that when trying to figure the odds of several things occurring together, you multiply the probabilities of each occurring. So the peacock had two copies of Bronze -- so passing on that was a given (i.e. 1). He had one copy of White Eye, so that's a 1/2 probability. He had one copy of Pied (or White, and then the hen had one copy of Pied -- I don't know how to tell apart birds split to Pied from birds split to White), so that's another 1/2 probability. 1 X 1/2 X 1/2 = 1/4 on Dad's Side. Mom was split to Bronze, so she had a 1/2 chance of passing that on. Mom also had one copy of White Eyed (from what I've read, it's hard to spot them from "normal" hens, but I'm not sure), so she had a 1/2 chance of passing that on. And Mom also had one copy of White (or Pied), and that's another 1/2 probability. So 1/2 X 1/2 X 1/2 = 1/8. Then multiply that by Dad's probability. 1/4 X 1/8 = 1/32 chance of all those things lining up.
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We were lucky.