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The exact odds of a coturnix hatching and actually brooding/raising their own young has yet to be guessed by me, because I have no trusted scientific data to even compute the odds. However, I believe the odds are quite low, just based on anecdotal data, and 5 years of practical experience.
Anyone serious about raising coturnix should invest in, and prefect the use of an incubator and brooder. Can you spend time, money, space, what ever, and get your coturnix to hatch,brood and raise their chicks.....YES. However, way less can be spent on bators and brooders, and you will net yourself way more coturnix.
I'm not saying that it can never happen, just that folks will save themselves a boat load of time and money going the bator,brooder route!
Your theory can be applied to buttons with various outcomes, but even the folks that have successfully naturally raised buttons will tell you....You get more chicks from a bator/brooder than you get from a broody hen. The time,money,space issues are compartmentalized.