What color will she be??? She's 4 months, new picture.

She is 4 months old now and growing like a weed. She is very tame and friendly. Had her first hoof trim without even being held.

She looks like her sire. He is 20+ years old. This is him.

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Dad is a large mini, about 34 ". Mom is a plain ole pony and is about 43" tall. Baby might get at least as tall as her mom, if not taller.

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I LOVE your bay roan
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- my first real pony was a strawberry roan chincoteague pony. I have one of those "B" sized minis too mine is 38"ish
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I think I'd like to get a bigger pony sometime down the road (like ~12hh)- But I love the ones I've got
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Without any other information(like color genetics tests on sire and dam), the color calculator gives you equal chances of coming up with these 4:


about a 17.5% chance:

Silver Bay Roan
Silver Bay
Bay Roan
Bay

about a 5.86% chance:

Silver Black roan (silver dapple and roan)
Silver black (silver dapple)
Blue roan
Black

about a 3% chance:

Chestnut roan
Chestnut

Baby color, especially in crosses like this, tends to change a lot between foal hood and adulthood.

I'm guessing silver dapple or silver bay, but it's really hard to tell at this point.

Silver bays are stunning - rich bay color, and a more or less flaxen or silver mane and tail.
 
Silver dapple is not grey.

Grey horses start out as almost any color - often bay or chestnut or black, and start getting more and more and lighter hairs, as they get older. They often 'grey' to a 'rose' color, then to a really noticeably grey color...and then that grey tone starts getting lighter and lighter as they age.

Silver dapple is a special modifier gene, that can sit on top of several different coat colors, and modify that base color, diluting it to look like - well - the pictures you see.

Sort of a sepia color with light and dark areas ('dapples') - it can be blacker or browner than the above examples too, but is not reddish, yellowish - it's always that very sepia brown with no yellow or red highlights. And the mane and tail are lighter than the body color - sometimes much lighter.

The silver dapple gene is found in Welsh ponies, Shetland Ponies, Dutch Warmbloods, and occasionally, in some crosses involving those breeds.

It can crop up in other breeds as well. It's a mutation, but a delightful one.

Unlike most color differences, the distinction between silver dapple and grey is quite useful, because grey horses tend to get skin cancer - melanoma - fully 80% or more grey horses get melanomas.

And while it isn't as serious as melanoma in humans, it does occasionally actually cause trouble, even serious trouble - so people like to be informed and make an informed choice - if the horse is grey, or actually some other color.
 
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