Yup. I was going nuts too!
I tried to break it down to the simplest scenario - 99.5 at egg height. I just ignored the variables on the mesh, on the sides, probe hanging above egg etc - NOT relevant to our goal.
I decided I would not try to understand the complex stuff as I am not Einstein! LOL!
So all my thermometers at the top of the eggs were within 1C. I found the GFQ was highest and least reliable gradation to read.
The Brisnea is specifically used in small incubators. This was very reliable and fortunately matched the digital one and the probe on the eggs -
http://incubationexperts.com/brinsea-glass-incubator-thermometer-139-p.asp
This is my digital -
https://www.aliexpress.com/item/Min...32705737570.html?spm=2114.40010508.4.9.bjy88I
This is my probe model -
https://www.aliexpress.com/item/201...lt&btsid=16d66790-8fd5-4cb8-ae37-d72635924998
Next time I incubate eggs, I will put a small flat piece of polystyrene as high as the eggs & keep my digital & Brisnea thermometers on it so I can read them without opening the incubator. I would also have the probe at the same level & display outside. I will not use the GFQ red one.
Secondly I will only open the incubator for turning eggs 3 times a day.
I will make sure the humidity reading on my digital is constant & increase it for last 3 days of hatch
If I can get 43% hatch with this incubator on my first hatch, I am confident I can do better next time.
I also know that my eggs were a range of 16 days old. Next time I will not use eggs more than 8 days ol, even if I have to set less eggs. Or I will source the eggs from someone else.
Good luck to you.