Mine usually go day 16 with a rare day 15 and a couple day 17. My first hatch my incubator was a degree cold and they went day 19/20. I haven’t noticed issues with late or early hatchers, seems like if they can hatch they have a great survival rate but if you help them out those are the ones that don’t make it. Shipped eggs, eggs exposed to heat or cold preincubation, eggs older than 10 days at incubation, and turning issues can really screw up hatch rates, have an incubator with a steady temp and be kind to your pre incubated eggs and they are pretty good hatchers! I’m on day one of a ‘week in the mail during freezing weather with saddled/detached air cells hatch,’ I’m already planning on a disaster: dead in shell, failure to hatch, weak and mutant chicks. But even then I got a 25% hatch rate on similar eggs last spring so maybe I’ll get 3 birds out of 13 eggs! Hopefully you get a nice hatch though!