I would agree, our military and its' technology is about 25 years ahead of what is publicly known according to my BIL who is in the military.
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Miniscule probabilities are those in which the denominator is large and the numerator small. For example, if scientists say the odds of life existing on another planet are 1 in a million, those are small odds.
But...the universe is HUGE. When there are billions of planets, then there are thousands of 1 in a million planets. Saying 1 planet in a million has life means that, statistically, it's more IMPROBABLE that this planet is the ONLY one with life. So it is mathematically more probable that there IS life somewhere else than that there ISN'T. I hope our species survives long enough to advance technology to find it.
At the same time, I'm pretty sure that the majority of "alien encounter" reports by people are the result of our faulty perception of stimuli as a result of our overactive brains. I can't say with accuracy that they're all fake, but there's another set of explanations for "encounters" that doesn't require the event to have actually happened as its described. Our brains are very easily tricked.
I don't want to start an argument, but UFO sightings and 'life on other planets' is mostly false. Many UFO sightings are our U.S. military doing who knows what again.
Quote:
Miniscule probabilities are those in which the denominator is large and the numerator small. For example, if scientists say the odds of life existing on another planet are 1 in a million, those are small odds.
But...the universe is HUGE. When there are billions of planets, then there are thousands of 1 in a million planets. Saying 1 planet in a million has life means that, statistically, it's more IMPROBABLE that this planet is the ONLY one with life. So it is mathematically more probable that there IS life somewhere else than that there ISN'T. I hope our species survives long enough to advance technology to find it.
At the same time, I'm pretty sure that the majority of "alien encounter" reports by people are the result of our faulty perception of stimuli as a result of our overactive brains. I can't say with accuracy that they're all fake, but there's another set of explanations for "encounters" that doesn't require the event to have actually happened as its described. Our brains are very easily tricked.

I don't want to start an argument, but UFO sightings and 'life on other planets' is mostly false. Many UFO sightings are our U.S. military doing who knows what again.