Huge feed price increase this winter

Jim. I have a feeling grain prices are going to continue to drop. Fuel has gone down and looks like it will go down some more slowly. Here in central KY our corn and bean crop looks to be the best I have seen in the last 15 years. From what I have been told it is the same across the corn belt. Great weather, plenty of rain and not too hot. Add to the fact that everyone that had open ground planted corn and beans we are way over on production. The ethanol plants can't possibly process it all, nor can the soybean biofuel plants, there just aren't enough of them and not enough total capacity.

Farming reminds me of when I use to trap. Coon prices would rocket up over $20 a pelt due to a shortage and the next season every trapper would go out and hammer the coon. When it came time to sell them the price was $10 or less. Everyone would grumble and think they were getting ripped off. They weren't it was simple supply and demand. I learned real quickly when coon prices went up, go trap something else.
Anthony
 
It doesn't all get sold when the futures are high. There are always those who hold out for a little bit more, then it crashes and they get stuck with cheap goods. There will be more corn sold for less than $5 a bushel than for the $7+ it was at for a while. At the moment ethanol plant stock is rising as their profit margins are looking good with dropping corn prices. Remember, when a future is for a certain date, that is the date the contract is filled. A future contract for $7/bushel corn bought for December means that contract must be fulfilled in December. Lots of people get caught up in the rising market and try to hold out for more. December futures right now are bouncing between $4.8X and $5.2X as the USDA has announced a bumper harvest is expected. Even soybean prices are dropping a bit.
 
The price for Buckeye 20% Gold Standard Layer feed just went from $11.50 to $13.75 for 50# and the hay went up from $5.40 to $8 a bale in spite of this being a bumper year for it with many farmers well into their third cutting. I think my feed store is ripping me off a bit but it's the only place in the area where I can find anything higher than 16% protein in the layer feed - my birds pull out each other's feathers at that low.

We are getting some hay from a guy hubby works with - $30 each for 2 big round bales, delivered. Now if I could just find cheaper feed...

Trisha in MO
 
Ya, that sounds a little steep on the chicken feed. I can't believe hay is that high in MO. It is stacked up everywhere here this year. After last year I think everyone who didn't plant corn and beans decided to go into the hay bussiness. There are some huge hay barns that have hay stacked outside of them they have cut so much.
 

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