Ended Official BYC 2021 Summer Fair—Guess When BYC Will Hit 24 Million Messages!

[casportpony]

Oh I'm so behind7/28/21 3:00pm

Sorry, contest ended.

 

[casportpony]

It seems to have speeded up since I guessed. That's always the way. Next time I'll keep that in mind.

Lots of posts yesterday. I think it's gonna happen by 7/14

 

[ChickenCanoe]

Agreed.

 

[muddy75]

20,153 posts from 7/1 to 7/6
20,153 / 6 = an average of 3358.83 posts per day
24,000,000 - 23,977,730 = 22270 posts to go
22270 / 3358.83 = 6.6 days to go

But it does fail to account for upcoming weekend and recent absence of frequently posters

 

[casportpony]

But it does fail to account for upcoming weekend and recent absence of frequently posters

True! Though there were a ton of posts yesterday.

 

[casportpony]

True! Though there were a ton of posts yesterday.

I lied, only 3400 posts yesterday.

8 day average = 3412 per day

 

[R2elk]

True! Though there were a ton of posts yesterday.

Compared to the last two messages contests, yesterday was a slow posting day.

 

[casportpony]

Yesterday

One year ago

 

[casportpony]

@R2elk, what's your prediction?

 

[casportpony]

30,791 posts from 7/1 through 7/9 = 3,421 posts per day.
24,000,000-23,989,292 = 10,708
10,708 / 3,421 = 3.1 days
So I am guessing the 13th or the 14th.