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I laughed when I read this. A friend of mine has a gelding that is the same way. She has an expecting mare stalled and he has been getting out of the back pasture twice a day to check on her. None of the other horses are getting out and she has walked her fenceline everyday trying to figure out how he is escaping. She keeps finding him standing outside of the barn by the mares window.
I bet hes not sneaking threw but just jumping right over. for a horse that really wants to even a 6 foot fence is nothing. my guy was also gelded late, nearly 4. I half wonder if his behavior stems from some instinct to protect and keep safe the smaller and weaker heard members. my gelding was the same way with ponys as well.
if shes pacing and looking uncomfortable she may just be uncomfortable. I would make sure she has plenty of hay or pasture to munch on, plently of water, shade and privacy if she wants it. early labor can last for a very long time or it could be tomorrow, who knows.