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I am on day five with my first batch and the only oats that have sprouted are the ones that had cracked or no hulls. It could be I didn't soak them long enough. The directions I read said to soak them for 4-6 hours. I'm thinking those directions were for oats with no hulls. I'm going to start another batch this morning and soak for 24 hours.
The good news is that oats are very nutritious even if they never sprout, so even if it never happens, I haven't wasted any money. My chickens do love oatmeal!
I have tried soaking for 12 hours and I have tried soaking for 24 hours and the results have not improved a lot for me. Seems like I am getting an average of about 20% of the seeds to sprout. I went to the local health food store to check out getting "hulled oats" but they were selling for $1.29 per lb. When I compare that to buying a 50 lb bag of oats for $7.50 (15 cents/ lb) my %20 yield looks pretty good! Plus its not like my chickens don't eat the oats that don't sprout.
I haven't tried soaking in warm water yet, but I guess at this point it couldn't hurt!