Is this just me or is this par for the course with respect to Cemanis?
Hi there.
I'm gonna go out on a limb and say that breeding any chicken... you will always have a greater number of culls than keeps if you are selecting for quality. I consider it par for the course in all breeds and varieties.
Doing test matings and hatches can help identify who is throwing your best and worst birds. Continuing to add unknown genetics might not be helping.. and some point you might decide to work with what ya got.
I worked with several breeds and varieties... and honestly
only about 1% are truly keepers in my experience... though I often end up keeping 10% out of need... yes that means out if every hundred birds... I only keep 10 or less... usually less.
We eat my male culls regardless of breed, even Silkies. If I don't have the time for processing them, they become compost to fertilize plants. I sell of my female culls as laying or pet birds not intended for show or breeding. Culling (dispatching that is) at a month old would probably keep me in the poor house.
Many folks will focus on something like color leakage while their body type goes out the window. So try to remember that just because it might be the easiest to see doesn't make it the most important thing to work on per say. Check your split wing, comb sprigs, etc.
You are 100% correct though in that no matter how much selecting you do there will ALWAYS be something popping up in the offspring... genetics is complicated by so many things we can't see also... a perfectly good looking bird could be throwing a hidden trait.
Show breeders know this and that's why they can't guarantee any chicks you get from them will be show quality or winning birds. If they advertise show quality chicks it just shows their ignorance of the whole process and they are trying to get more $. They can have show winning parent stock, and still not produce show winning offspring... and if they do, it won't be high percentages.
That's one thing that makes it challenging to get good quality stock in back yards... most folks simply don't have the means to hatch and raise enough birds to get where YOU want to be. And that's another reason to work with only birds you truly love.. it's very time consuming and demanding not to mention costly... hence, the higher cost of most breeder birds compared to hatcheries.
Once you become real familiar with your breed... you may be able to tell culls at hatch by something as simple as toenail color.. once learning what the different pheno/geno types (can't keep those words straight yet) end up growing out like.
4 years is a good run, so I don't mean to discount your experience by any of my suggestions. No matter how long I've kept poultry, I keep learning new things all the time... and getting new interests!
But to me.. no, your experience is not abnormal. Please note.. if you are culling at one month old... that might be too soon as they are still going through several mini molts and *may* still molt out some of what you are concerned with. I know, I was able to tell leakage on my FBCM by then on some.. but it was pattern leakage not down fluff.
Have you looked into line breeding or spiral breeding?
Sorry I can't be more help... but YES, I feel your pain! Keep up the hard work, it's not for the faint of heart.
