Chickens are one organism that is prone to mutations and still can survive because man uses the mutations to benefit his fancy for chickens. From what I can gather, the genes that produced an Iowa Blue have become, for the lack of a better word, extinct. If you do not have them in your iowa blue population, you will never see them be expressed.
That is the question. Is the gene (are the genes) extinct?
Thought 1) Was that effect caused by a single gene? If caused by a single gene, with the degree of line breeding/in breeding performed, it would be very surprising to have never seen it pop up if present in present day flocks, but there is the chance it is bouncing around under the radar if it were recessive. In breeding would have been the quickest way to pick that up, though, and there has been plenty of that, given how many bottle necks the breed has encountered.
Thought 2) Was the effect caused by a pair/group of genes in concert, only expressing if all present (for instance)? More of positive chance the genes are still in the mix, just haven't hit the jackpot yet. (This goes with thought 4.)
Thought 3) Was the original look a selectively bred look and we've lost that selection? If yes, can we push back towards the look through selection?
Thought 4) Was the original look on the ER locus, but unfortunately masked by black extension? If yes, are we getting back closer with the charcoals?
Thought 5) We aren't going to know until we test them out. We've put a lot into silvers the last two years and now have a better handle of the range of that morph, and they are gorgeous, though the roosters have been frustrating. We haven't explored the extent of phenotypes possible with the charcoal population yet, and I think this begs performing to see if any surprises show up with numbers and multiple line crosses to see if we can hit that magic "jackpot" combination. It would be so much nicer if we had a genetic blueprint to follow, true. We also haven't had the color photo of the original appearance up until recently so it has given us a lot to think about and more ground to explore. There is the chance that the blued out black appearance is a genetic combination that is lost to us, but there is a chance that it is not. We're just not going to know until we try. I would say I agree that the best chance lies in the charcoal/birchen lines on the ER locus, from the most recent historical findings and discussions. We're pretty much with charcoals where we were with silvers just a few short years ago. Can't wait to see what can be produced from the ER end of the spectrum!