Anecdotally, all of my Marek's (confirmed) symptoms and deaths have been in late winter. The time of year and/or temperature is a good theory, but it would be hard to figure out one way or another just by talking with backyard chicken enthusiasts.
I just told this to someone via PM, but I will share it here:
I have started to come to hate Marek's more for the immunosupression more than anything. As heart-breaking as the visceral form is with paralysis and/or rapid cancerous tumor growth, the long-term chiseling away at a chicken's health (for those susceptible to it) and the owner always second-guessing and trying to figure out "what is it this time" and "how do I treat this" ...frankly really sucks. Those that keep chickens as livestock are often right to cull in these situations, but I'm a loony that loves my birds as pets so it's doubly hard.
I am a layperson and do not understand or know the nitty gritty and details of RNA/DNA retroviruses. That said, have we (modern science/humanity) ever created a cure even for human DNA vrisues? I am asking genuinely. I don't know. Remember that these viruses inject themselves into the very DNA of their host's cells and are manufactured by the host's cells. Truthfully, the Marek's vaccine is better protection for chickens than most anything we have for humans against DNA-type herpesviruses. I'm amazed we know as much and can do as much as we can.
Have any of you with Marek's positive flocks gone through your own mental evolution as we (as a chicken community) have learned about this disease? I know I have. I went from terror and feeling hopeless, to feeling somewhat educated and feeling like I had a handle on it all, to going back to feeling hopeless as I learned that nothing I researched was absolute, to questioning myself, to feeling better informed yet again, etc etc. It is a rollercoaster.