Boy you miss out on a lot on these threads if you do other things, let alone type long posts. This thread has really moved on.
For most if not all of us, our perception is reality, whether the facts agree with them or not. That's why the spin masters don't even have to lie to us, they just have to say things in a way that implies something other than the truth. If they can get you emotionall involved too, they are much more successful. A few examples:
"We have to stop all Foreign Aid" and implying we are just giving money away in the way they say this. True, we do a bit of humanitarian aid, such as tsunami relief or earthquake relief, but the vast majority of Foreign Aid is used to buy something. Even the humanitarian aid buys good will. But what it is targeted to buy might be markets for American goods, access by American companies to raw materials, military assistance such as the right for our war planes to fly over their territory, political support, or something else. Whether or not we are getting our money's worth for the individual pieces of Foreigh Aid is a valid topic and should be discussed. It really should be. But if someone starts out with the conviction that all Foreigh Aid is just giving money away, then how can you honestly evaluate that.
Also from another thread "We have to stop giving subsidies to oil companies" Instead of a blanket statement, I'd need to know which subsidies (which in my experience means tax or royalty relief. We're not giving them cash as implied, but reducing their taxes. It amounts to the same thing but the way it is perceived is important.) The incentives I am familair with involve oil and gas exploration and development. I've worked in the industry. How taxes and royalties are handled can have a big influence on whether or not an exploratory well is drilled on a certain prospect and, if hydrocarbons are found, whether or not they are developed. It's not a simple case of drill, baby, drill. Some prospects are so good that they are going to be drilled and produced whether or not there are any incentives. On those, the incentives is a loss to our government. But are those offset by the prospects that are drilled and developed because of the incentives? Don't forget, with the multinational oil companies, the USA prospects are competing for exploration and development money for prospects from all around the world. If a USA prospect does not make the cut, it usually means that money will be spent on a prospect in Indonesia, Nigeria, Saudi Arabia, or somewhere else in the world, so the other country gets taxes and royalties, their citizens get the jobs associated with it, and their oil dependence decreases instead of that happening in the USA. A proper evaluation would look at how much we lose by giving tax relief on prospects that are going to be drilled and developed anyway versus the additional American jobs, taxes, and energy independence we gain on the prospects that would not have been drilled without the incentive.
To me, it is not a straightforward money assessment either. Value judgment gets involved. I tend to prefer leaving our marginal oil and gas in the ground for my grandchildren's future benefit versus drill, baby, drill. It is a limited resource. The more we use the more valuable the remaining will be. I'd rather use other people's oil first. And what value do you put in reducing our energy dependence a fraction? Others will use different values.
I worked with numbers all my career so I can strongly agree that figures don't lie but liars figure. To make the evaluations, you have to make assumptions. Whoever is doing the calculations strongly affect the outcome based on the basic assumptions they use. For example, there is no way the government or us as private citizens will ever know which prospects were drilled or not drilled because of government incentives. Those decisions are confidential business practices and decisions within the oil companies. To make that process public would give their competitors an unfair competitive advantage. So you have to assume something. I can make the results show what I want by which assumptions I assume. And it is not always straight numbers. Value judgments come into play there too. For example, a prospect in Nigeria may have a better rate of return, but the political instability in Nigeria may make a prospect in the USA more attractive. You set up the formulas your way and I'll set them up mine. We'll disagree over the results because of the assumptions we use.
I'd really love to see a cost-benefit analysis on all the different government spending. Everything from Regulations to Foreign Aid. See which ones are helping our country and which ones are not helping and need to be discontinued or not implemented to start with. It is not a simple calculation. To me the idea of doing a cost-benefit analysis is pretty basic, but they are not usually simple to set up. And we will honestly get different opinions based on who is setting up the equations, what assumptions they make, and what value they put on the different personal value items. That's where the ballot box comes in. Just like the winner gets to write history, the winner gets to set the values and make the assumptions.
You may notice I switched from "subsidies" to "incentives". That is spin. Both words are technically correct, but which one you use gives a different feeling and will affect how you perceive the issue. You might try substituting technically correct but different words in something a candidate says to see if that has an effect on how you perceive the message. I realize that most of us are set in our ways and won't change, but I think most if us on here are speaking to the few that have an open mind and are still trying to determine how thay feel on these issues, so my suggestion is for them.
I guess another example of how we are manipuilated. When Lush Rimbough mispronounces Jesse Jackson's name, he is manipulating you. If he can degrade and ridicule Jesse Jackson, then Jesse's message is not important. Not only does his supporters think that is funny, he hits the emotions of the Jackson supporters. They get mad and don't think straight. They are so emotionally involved they just lose it. Whether you thought my misspelling Rush's name was funny or if it infuriated you probably has a lot to do with how you feel about Rush. It is a common tactic. Whether she deserves it or not, think of Sarah.
One more thing, from a few posts back. Does anyone else think that Rick Perry has changed his hair style so he looks more like Ronald Reagan? If so, that would be another type of spin.