With $5.5 trillion of outstanding debt and Mortgage Backed Securities Guarantees, the quasi‐public or now in‐conservatorship Fannie and Freddie have obligations that approach the total amount of government‐issued bonds the US currently has outstanding. There are so many things that went wrong or are wrong at these so‐called GSEs that I am not sure where to start. First, why were two for‐profit companies with boards, shareholders, charitable foundations, and lobbying arms ever given the "implicit" backing of the US Government? The Chinese won't buy them anymore only because our government won't give them the explicit backing. The US government cannot give them the explicit backing because the resulting federal debt burden will crash though the Congressionally‐mandated debt ceiling (which was recently raised to accommodate more deficit spending). These organizations have been some of the single largest political contributors in the world over the past decade with $200 million being given to 354 lawmakers in the last 10 years or so. Yes, the United States needs low cost mortgages, but why should organizations created by Congress have to lobby Congress? Fannie and Freddie used the most leverage of any institution that issued mortgages or held mortgage backed bonds. At one point in 2007, Fannie was over 95X levered to its statutory minimum capital with just 18 basis points set aside for losses. That's right, 18 one hundredths of one percent set aside for potential losses. They must not be able to put humpty dumpty back together again. If they are to exist going forward, Fannie and Freddie should be 100% government‐owned, and the government should simply issue mortgages to the population of the United States directly since this is essentially what is already happening today, with the added burden of supporting a privately‐funded, and arguably insolvent, capital structure.
Even before tackling the task of cementing capital adequacy, we need to bear in mind that the TARP places one more straw on the back of the frightfully encumbered camel that is the federal government ledger. Other off-balance-sheet liabilities were already in place before Washington took on additional burdens from the reorganization of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and whatever we realize-which may, after all is said and done, be a positive return-from the liquidation of collateralized loans made through the Fed to Bear Stearns and AIG, and now the Treasurys discharging of x dollars of mortgage-related securities for which there is presently no palpable market. (I say x because under the proposal made, the taxpayers outlay is not $700 billion; it is the difference between $700 billion and the return earned on that $700 billion investment.)
Foremost among the existing liabilities are some $13 trillion in unfunded Social Security benefits and Medicare obligations already promised to the people but as yet unfunded, an obligation that the Dallas Fed staff estimates at a present value of over $80 trillion. The former comptroller general of the United States, David Walker, estimates the Medicare deficit to be less, only $34 trillion, so lets work with his less-excitable numbers. With everything including Social Security and Medicare properly accounted for, Mr. Walker estimates that as of September 30, 2007, the federal government was in a $53 trillion fiscal hole, equal to $455,000 per household and $175,000 per person.
http://www.dallasfed.org/news/speeches/fisher/2008/fs080925.cfm
(by the way, TARP, has, for the most part, kept the dollar in the dike)
No amount of deregulation and lowered taxes will dig us out of this hole and it is getting deeper (fewer employed - less revenue - how to pay off that debt?). Those who cannot find employment over an extended period, with no retraining, become unemployable (as happened in Europe in the `80's).
I'll be waiting for another couple of election cycles until the ideological foam gets blown from the kool-aid we're all going to have to drink (pragmatists and nothing more, i.e., Socialist? Capitalist? No, Survivalist). Of course, while the Fed's quantitative easing might make it easier for the banks to retire debt, keep in mind the price of oil is pegged to the dollar (could be looking to expensive gas within the near future and more `change' sooner than later).
Those folks who want to get started on accumulating college credits on the cheap, look into CLEP testing (can usually get those credits validated by taking a `12hr.' semester at a local community college).