MJ's little flock

Some sense in the madness.
I know you said some tests Bob but it is woth bearing in mind that some of the untested and uproven tests are not even managing a 50% hit rate. That's no better than chance.
If you apply some statistical analysis to the few test results there are their reliability isn't much past coin toss in many instances.
For those that are interested it is worth reading a bit on statistical analysis just to see what percentages are required for a particular level of doubt.
Unfortunately many of the journalists and the politicians who either do not have a decent grasp of science, or have a particular agenda to propmote are misleadinng the public.
My current favorite is the recent euphoric reporting of successful vaccine development. It takes years to gather enough data to judge how effective such vaccines are. Then there is the knotty problem of will they be effective at slowing Covid if a large percentage of the population don't take the vaccine. All assumes of course that the virus the vaccine is for doesn't mutate.
I could bang on for hours. Sorry people. I'll shut up now.
Not to pile on but for everyone's reference. A normal vaccine process takes 15 years in order for it to prove effectiveness.
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I know SA Health is doing genomic testing on samples in order to trace the virus through the community. The strain we're avoiding (or not spreading) in this new lockdown is a fast little devil, incubating within a day, infectious for two. So a six day lockdown will be an effective measure if people comply.

Supermarkets will be open 24 hours (never in SA's history have we had all supermarkets open 24 hours). That's to allow for covid safe shopping. I'm allowed to leave my home once a day for groceries, covid testing, if I have a medical emergency, taking Peggy to Dr Mark etc, but some things are not allowed eg exercising outside, so I'm glad I had a beachwalk yesterday morning! Work is shut down completely, we're on fully paid leave. It's a surprise holiday and I'm determined to enjoy myself in spite of restrictions. I may do ALL my jigsaw puzzles or something like that.

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I am craving a good jigsaw puzzle. It's been more than a year. I wish I could share one with you.
 
She was homeschooled by Peggy, who used her imagination and intimidation to teach Ivy how to look at brakes. That's why I take the car to a formally qualified car mechanic.:gig

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Ivy says "I do so know about brakes!! Peggy says I do know about them!"

I know she did Ivy. It's not you, it's me.
What a beauty she is. 🥰
 
No, Bob carried it into my thread (maybe by mistake) and I love it so I've followed along 🥰 but this is an obligation free zone.
It started when I said I was going to tax myself. I never said anyone else had to. I plan to do it no matter where I might post on the website.

I just think it takes the edge of of all these conversations and we are seeing so many more pictures than we used to as a really nice bonus. I've seen more pictures of Ivy in the last 2 days than I normally do in a couple of weeks.
 
It started when I said I was going to tax myself. I never said anyone else had to. I plan to do it no matter where I might post on the website.

I just think it takes the edge of of all these conversations and we are seeing so many more pictures than we used to as a really nice bonus. I've seen more pictures of Ivy in the last 2 days than I normally do in a couple of weeks.
It's oneof those win-win ideas that everyone loves the moment it's known.
 

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