LKWolfram
Chirping
- Apr 29, 2022
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I think I might be able to help with some of the mystery. To find out, the six brown egg F1 olive eggers I also grabbed from her were from that same blue rooster in question too. I didn’t know that when posting originally. Mine hatched Friday. I have some pics. I am no expert in pea comb, being that I’ve only hatched single combs until now, but I do see the serated single in some, just like when my Ayams were born. There is two, possible a third of those six that to me look blunt versus defined pointed tops, but I am not sure how a pea comb is suppose to look on new born/week old chicks etc. Over time I will be better, but for now, I am looking forward to your input on it for accuracy.No, I am not falling for the Gambler's Fallacy.
I do not think the "next" coin flip (or chick) has a higher chance of having the other trait.
But by the time you get 6 heads in a row with the coin, I start thinking something is odd. And by the time you reach 10 heads in a row, I'm checking whether the coin has 2 heads, or whether someone has found a way to flip the coin so it always lands heads up instead of really being random.
With chicks, if someone gets a batch of 10 with one recessive trait, I think the most likely explanations are:
--parents are both pure for that trait
--those "parents" are not really the parents
--the person is mis-identifying the trait
So with a cockerel who clearly is not p/p for single comb (because we've now seen his picture), but "all" his chicks have single combs when their mother has single comb, I would want to know how many "all" the chicks are.
If it's 4 or less, then I think random chance is the most likely explanation.
If it's a few more than that, chance is still a reasonable explanation.
But if it's 10 or more, then I think the MOST likely explanation is that a different rooster sired some of the chicks, or that the person is mis-identifying the comb type. Random chance is not completely ruled out, but is not very likely to cause that.
Here is some of the photos I took from Monday. I don’t have hers to compare to mine, so I can’t speak in regard to her concern of all her baby chicks with single comb, but I would assume my hatch would be enough to figure out the mystery hopefully.
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