I must ask since this is my first try.
Does the kind of incubator you are using change all this. I have a Genesis Circulated air Hova Bator. It recommends 45 to 55 till day 17 then 55 to 65 for hatch.
After reading all these comments Im pretty sure this is a average setting.
I am trying to maintain 45% but its not going well I'm jumping from 40 to 60.I can't rule out grand kids bumping incubator and sloshing water around.
I use a fan forced Hovabator 1583. Many of the manufacture recommendations do list 50%. My previous incubator was a fan forced LG. Spikes and drops in humidity are not a threat to eggs. Humidity is important as an average. It's job to be low enough to let the egg loose moisture but not too low where moisture loss starts drying the membrane.
Again, manuals do not take many factors and variables into account. I would never hatch out with humidity less than 65% and prefer 75% because I am hands on. A hands off hatcher shouldn't have an issue with hatch at 60/65%. Like I said, the biggest favor a newbie can do for themself when starting out is monitor air cells to know the effect of their humidity levels on their air cells.
http://letsraisechickens.weebly.com...anuals-understanding-and-controlling-humidity
My understanding is that the "drowning" occurs when there isn't enough moisture removed from the egg. Therefore, it's not the lockdown humidity that is causing them to drown, unless there is no fresh air, perhaps...
If the moisture remains in the egg, and the chick pips the air cell, I've understood that there is moisture in it-- essentially drowning the chick. Otherwise, if the chick pipped and it wasn't enough air, it would smother. At lockdown humidity needs to stay above 65%, but I prefer it about 75%.
On the note of the umbilical cords... this year, I followed the instructions recommended in a Forum and dropped temp on day 19 & day 20. When hatching began, There was a lot of bleeding umbilical cords. I moved the temp back to 99.5, and everyone thereafter was dry. Last hatch I saw one with blood, I checked the heat and it had dropped a tad, same thing...
just thought I'd share my experience.
make sure that the air cells are increasing in size appropriately (use the chart as a guide). I would recommend starting dry and adding water to the incubator if needed. But if you are in a dry climate, you will probably need to add distilled water to one well.
Most of my eggs are shipped and when I pull too much quickly, the air cells get worse - saddles etc. when I increase humidity, it holds them and many saddles disappear.
You are correct, it's not the lockdown/hatch humidity that causes drowning. It is the overall average of incubation humidity that attributes to this.
If the air during incubation is too saturated, moisture can not, (or at least not in big enough quantities) leave the egg and allow the air cell to grow. It is this moisture that isn't allowed to leave that causes drowning. High humidity does NOT add moisture to an egg. Simply prevents it from leaving.
I run dry if the incubator holds above 25% dry. If not I add a wet sponge. That usually holds it in the 30-40 range. I never use my water wells until lockdown. Then I fill them and still use a couple sponges atop my screen at egg level.
However, you still do not want to see condensation in the bators during hatch either. Air that laden with moisture will be breathed in by the chicks, and moist air can attribute to respiratory issues.
I never adjust temp down at hatch, but to be fair, because I open my bator during hatch, often it looses a degree or two occasionally. I seldom have umbilical issues and next to no spraddle leg/curled toes. In three years of incubating I've only had one pipper not make it to hatch and three after hatch moralities. Two culls, and one was a brooded chick, not incubated. My entire flock minus one I hatched myself, that one is one that was from my broody. I've kept probably, I'd say, one third of all I've hatched or so. This spring I only hatched about 40 chicks. (Kept 10, then sold two of those so far.)
My very first hatch ever was horrible. Incorrect temps (unchecked thermometer) and ran the humidity too high (as per recommendations). After that brought humidity down, learned to monitor air cells and to check thermometers and use more than one, and have been blessed with good hatches since...plus a little prayer never hurts