storm_12


Jose's a danger for a few folks in the Caribbean, for sure, but the models don't generally look like the U.S. has much to worry about.
Jose is a Cat4 at the moment.

Looking at the tracking, what's the chances it could make a big circle and come back again? Just read the Leeward Islands may get it - like they need another Hurricane like Irma.
 
For a while there, it looked pretty likely, but things look rosier for us with each update. We might experience tropical storm conditions on Monday or Tuesday, but for us that's nothing, and not set in stone. I'm no longer worried about us; it's the folks to the south and west that are really under the gun. Once she gets done trouncing Florida, it looks like Irma's remnants may park themselves in Tennessee for a day or two, maybe meandering down into Alabama before finally getting pushed off to the east. Harvey may not have been quite as unkind to those folks as to some in Texas, but they got pretty wet . . . they really don't need more tropical moisture.




Do I dare share something a guy tweeted?
"The West is on fire.
The South is under water.
The East is about to get real windy.
Detroit has never seemed so safe."
"
You can send her to TN... We'll absorb it for you gladly.
 
Now it's getting personal for me. I've got a very good friend in Sarasota. That's looking at the moment to be ground zero. Hope the cone keeps shifting to the west.

[somebody in the panhandle]: No no no! Back to the east!
[somebody in Miami] No no no! Back to the west!

Too far west it'll pick up the warm waters of the gulf. I just wish it would head out to sea and leave everyone alone. I wouldn't wish this on my worst enemy.
 
Jose is a Cat4 at the moment.

Looking at the tracking, what's the chances it could make a big circle and come back again? Just read the Leeward Islands may get it - like they need another Hurricane like Irma.

I dunno, but I wouldn't think too good. I can't say about things like shear and pressure ridges, but conditions to the north and east of Jose look cooler and drier - not the sort of fuel to keep a hurricane happy and healthy.:confused:
 

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