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Ok, lets play the game with your rules. I will concede a 25% reduction in production to account for the loss of our export market and for reduced domestic consuption. That puts us at 6 billion broilers and 86 million market hogs.
Now show the math on the number of acres, producers, and the other outcomes from using 'sustainable' methods to meet the animal protein demand of the US.
Jim
I still reject your assumption that we even need to produce those kinds of numbers. Just because we do doesn't mean it is necessary. Perhaps the reason farmers can't make a decent wage is because we produce too much. But even given your numbers...
Show me how you do it without petroleum.
In fact, show me how you do any factory farming at all without petroleum. The entire system is built on a finite resource. Finite as in we will eventually run out. If we haven't done so already, we will soon hit Peak Oil.
They call it "peak" because we have peaked. As in, it is all downhill from here. We will be working with an increasingly diminishing supply while the demand of countries like India and China will continue to increase, making it an increasingly premium commodity that will only increase in expense.
Come back and talk about cheap chicken then.
Sustainable agriculture, on the other hand, is built on solar energy, managed intensive grazing, nature, and good old fashion farmer know-how. It requires little to no petroleum. The sun, the farmer, and the animals, all working to produce all the food we need.
You don't think that the governments are figuring this out already? I'm sure there are many fuel opportunities in the mix as we speak. Just because petroleum falls... doesn't mean the food industry will with it. I see your point but they will prevail... factory farms are here to stay.